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Truth, Lies & Uncertainty

Searching for reality in unreal times

Red Nose Studio

On July 8 President Donald Trump stood in the East Room of the White House and delivered a speech celebrating his administration's environmental leadership. Flanked by his Secretary of the Interior David Bernhardt, a former oil and gas lobbyist, and epa head Andrew Wheeler, a former coal lobbyist, Trump extolled his team's stewardship of public lands, its efforts to ensure “the cleanest air and cleanest water,” and its success in reducing carbon emissions. In reality, Trump has opened up millions of acres to drilling and mining and sought to reverse multiple air- and water-pollution regulations. As for carbon emissions, they spiked an estimated 3.4 percent last year, and this administration is withdrawing the U.S. from the Paris climate change agreement that nearly every other nation on the planet is participating in.

The speech was surreal but apparently strategic: It came on the heels of polls showing that Americans are growing increasingly worried about the environment. It remains to be seen whether Trump will sway environmentally concerned voters by using false claims, but clearly his team thinks that's a possibility. Truly we live in interesting times. How did we get here, and how do we get out?

In this special issue of Scientific American, we set out to explore how it is that we can all live in the same universe yet see reality so differently. Basic science illuminates the deep roots of this phenomenon. Even in physics and mathematics, truth is not entirely clear-cut. And mounting evidence from neuroscience indicates that our perceptions are not direct representations of the external world. Rather our brains—each one unique—make guesses about reality based on the sensory signals they receive.


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Still, there can be no doubt that factors specific to our modern era are exacerbating our collective unmooring—technological developments that abet the warping of truth and the normalization of lies. Social media amplifies toxic misinformation on an unprecedented scale. Cyberattacks on election machinery and voter-registration systems threaten not only election outcomes but democracy itself.

Uncertainty in the world makes us all the more susceptible to such campaigns. But it's not all doom and gloom. By understanding how we instinctively deal with unknowns and how bad actors exploit the information ecosystem, we can mount defenses against weaponized narratives—and build mutual understanding to solve society's most pressing challenges.

Truth

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The Search for Truth in Physics Is the Mathematical World Real? The Neuroscience of Reality How Professional Truth Seekers Search for Answers

Lies

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Deception in the Animal Kingdom How Misinformation Spreads—and Why We Trust It The Contagion of Corruption How to Defraud Democracy

Uncertainty

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When Assessing Novel Risks, Facts Are Not Enough How To Get Better at Embracing Unknowns The Search for Social Identity Leads to "Us" versus "Them" Misinformation Has Created a New World Disorder

Seth Fletcher is chief features editor at Scientific American. His book Einstein's Shadow (Ecco, 2018), on the Event Horizon Telescope and the quest to take the first picture of a black hole, was excerpted in the New York Times Magazine and named a New York Times Book Review Editor's Choice. His book Bottled Lightning (2011) was the first definitive account of the invention of the lithium-ion battery and the 21st century rebirth of the electric car. His writing has appeared in the New York Times Magazine, the New York Times op-ed page, Popular Science, Fortune, Men's Journal, Outside and other publications. His television and radio appearances have included CBS's Face the Nation, NPR's Fresh Air, the BBC World Service, and NPR's Morning Edition, Science Friday, Marketplace and The Takeaway. He has a master's degree from the Missouri School of Journalism and bachelor's degrees in English and philosophy from the University of Missouri.

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Jen Schwartz is a senior features editor at Scientific American since 2017. She produces stories and special projects about how society is adapting--or not--to a rapidly changing world, particularly in the contexts of climate change, health, and misinformation. Jen has led several editorial projects at Scientific American, including a special issue, "How Covid Changed The World" (March 2022); the "Confronting Misinformation" special report (November 2020); and "The Future of Money" special report (January 2018), for which she was interviewed in over a dozen media outlets including CNBC, CBS and WNYC. She's co-led projects including the "Truth, Lies, and Uncertainty" special issue (2019) and "Inconceivable" (2018) about research gaps in female reproductive health. Jen also writes and edits essays and book reviews for Scientific American. For 15 years, Jen has reported on sea-level rise and the vexing choices of coastal communities. In 2016, she flew with NASA's Operation Icebridge over Antarctica to report on how polar observations of ice melt lead to ever-improving models for sea-level rise; her resulting feature story, about how a community in NJ is retreating from worsening floods, won the 2019 "Science in Society Award" from the National Association of Science Writers. It has been widely cited in policy and academia, and she has discussed her work on radical climate adaptation at places including the World Economic Forum's Sustainable Development Summit, Telluride Mountainfilm festival, PBS's Story in The Public Square, The Denver Museum of Natural History, and Princeton University's Council on Science and Technology. Jen has moderated panel discussions for a range of audiences, from corporate (3M's State of The World's Science), to global development (UN General Assembly), to government (Earth From Space Institute) to the arts (Tribeca Film Festival). Jen previously worked at Popular Science, GQ, New York Magazine, Outside, and The Boston Globe. She has an B.S. in journalism from the College of Communication at Boston University.

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Kate Wong is an award-winning science writer and senior editor at Scientific American focused on evolution, ecology, anthropology, archaeology, paleontology and animal behavior. She is fascinated by human origins, which she has covered for more than 25 years. Recently she has become obsessed with birds. Her reporting has taken her to caves in France and Croatia that Neandertals once called home, to the shores of Kenya's Lake Turkana in search of the oldest stone tools in the world, to Madagascar on an expedition to unearth ancient mammals and dinosaurs, to the icy waters of Antarctica, where humpback whales feast on krill, and on a "Big Day" race around the state of Connecticut to find as many bird species as possible in 24 hours. Kate is co-author, with Donald Johanson, of Lucy's Legacy: The Quest for Human Origins. She holds a bachelor of science degree in biological anthropology and zoology from the University of Michigan. Follow Wong on X (formerly Twitter) @katewong

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Scientific American Magazine Vol 321 Issue 3This article was originally published with the title “Truth, Lies & Uncertainty” in Scientific American Magazine Vol. 321 No. 3 (), p. 26
doi:10.1038/scientificamerican0919-26